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A smarter poll (using prediction markets) to predict the outcome of any event you want.

Try it now! Ask for predictions and send to your team:

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How TinyCast Works

Addusers

Get people together and use TinyCast to ask the percent chance something will happen.

Changepredictions

They can come back any time to change their prediction before the actual answer is known.

Results

Using fancy math, we combine everyone’s predictions to tell you the chances something will happen.

Start Getting Predictions in Minutes

Forecast breakdown

What Kinds of Predictions People are Making

Officepool
Officepool

Office Pools

Ask your office mates if you'll meet project deadlines, how sales are going to be next quarter, or anything else you regularly debate at lunch.

Sports

Sports Outcomes

Predict which team will win a game, how a player will do, or if a spread will be covered.

Sports
Business
Business

Stocks and Business

Predict stock performance, economic indicators or other factors that influence business.

Popculture

Pop Culture

Ask which movies are going to do well, which character will die next in a show, or who the next big Hollywood break up will be.

Popculture

Success of the Crowd Over Time

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4th Century

Aristotle writes about the "wisdom of the crowd" in his smash hit "Politics"

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1906

Statistician Francis Galton observed the median guess of an ox by 800 people at a fair was within 1% of the right answer.

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1988

The University of Iowa launches the Iowa Electronic Market to let people bet on the outcome of elections. The IEM has consistently outperformed polls in every major election since.

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2011-2015

The U.S. Government concludes a multi-million dollar study on the wisdom of the crowd, proving its effectiveness once again.

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2016

TinyCast is launched on the Cultivate Forecasts platform with a goal of bringing crowd predictions out of academia, companies, and traders to everyone.