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Stop guessing, start knowing.

Ask your team - the people who know best - to predict the future. Crowdsource the odds and get essential insider insight into your most important decisions.

Try it now!

Ask your team the chance something will happen:

How Companies are Using TinyCast

Officepool
Officepool

Company Performance

Ask your team how sales are going to be next quarter, if you'll meet a deadline, or anything else you regularly debate at lunch.

Sports

Office Pools

Have a little fun in the office. Predict which team will win a game, if a movie will win an Oscar, or a character will be killed off in a show.

Sports
Business
Business

Stocks and Business

Predict stock performance, economic indicators, or other industry trends that effect your business.

Popculture

Office Politics

Better than reality TV. Will your CEO be fired this year? Will there be layoffs next quarter?

Popculture

Success of the Crowd

Timeline star
4th Century

Aristotle writes about the "wisdom of the crowd" in his smash hit "Politics."

Timeline star
1906

Statistician Francis Galton observed the median guess of an ox by 800 people at a fair was within 1% of the right answer.

Timeline star
1988

The University of Iowa launches the Iowa Electronic Market to let people bet on the outcome of elections. The IEM has consistently outperformed polls in every major election since.

Timeline star
2011-2015

The U.S. Government concludes a multi-million dollar study on the wisdom of the crowd, proving its effectiveness once again.

Timeline star
2016

TinyCast is launched on the Cultivate Forecasts platform with a goal of bringing crowd predictions out of academia, companies, and traders to everyone.

Why TinyCast is Better Than a Poll

Under the hood, TinyCast is a prediction market. We drive people to express what they think will happen instead of what they want to happen, giving you a far more useful signal.

Change predictions
Happy
TinyCast: People can update their predictions anytime in reaction to new information.
Unhappy
Polls: Collect responses today and hope they're not stale tomorrow.
Work together
Happy
TinyCast: Uses proven market mechanism to crowdsource a forecast from your team.
Unhappy
Polls: Export data to stats software to conduct accuracy analysis.
Seestats
Happy
TinyCast: Measure how accurate you are individually and collectively.
Unhappy
Polls: Not designed to audit performance and know how well you did.
Actualvswant
Happy
TinyCast: Capture rationale and related discussion to provide additional context and insight.
Unhappy
Polls: Do not incentivize collaboration and sharing of information.

How TinyCast Works

Forecast breakdown

Manage your TinyCast Like a Pro

Admin breakdown